← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayLossOpened Aug 24, 2026 · 01:00 UTCResolved Aug 24, 2026 · 01:56 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$77,647.7
T1 · 20%$78,028.0
T2 · 25%$78,785.6
STOP (original)$77,020.0
T3 · 20%$79,521.8
Runner · 35%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-4.04%
P&L-$404.20
P&L (BTC)-0.00525 BTC
Exit$77,020.0
Price moved-0.81%
Deepest adverse$76,939.8 (-0.91%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$64,977.2

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: sweep-reclaim of pwPOC $77,171.5 / dVAL $77,176.0 — the 00:45 UTC 15m candle wicked to $77,103.0 (through the weekly POC and developing VAL, an obvious stop-rich level) and CLOSED back above at $77,636.2, reclaiming VWAP ($77,403.5), the dPOC ($77,426.5) and the dVAH ($77,491.0) in one candle; that 15m close is the named trigger, corroborated by the 00:55 5m close through dVAH ($77,481.4 open → $77,636.2 close). Corroboration: 4h CVD bullish divergence (+129 BTC), OI building +2.26% on 4h in a healthy uptrend with benign funding (+0.010%), yesterday's daily closed up on the highs at $77,685.3, and value is migrating higher day-over-day — trade with value, long the failed auction of the low. Entry here IS the reclaim close (price has not extended beyond the trigger candle's high $77,636–77,647); stop $77,020 sits ~0.1% below the $77,103 sweep wick so a close back beyond it invalidates the reclaim. T1 is pdH/day high liquidity at $78,028.0 (nearest real structure), T2 the 22 Aug swing high $78,785.6, T3 the pwVAH / weekly high $79,521.8. Risk:Reward to T2 = $1,138 / $628 ≈ 1.8:1... measured honestly it is 1.81:1 to T2, so I bank a slightly larger 20% at T1 given the counter-move nature of a reclaim entry, and the runner carries to the weekly high.

Committed on the market snapshot from Aug 24, 2026 · 00:55 UTC