← Sayuri

Long thesis

DayWinOpened Jul 13, 2026 · 14:20 UTCResolved Jul 13, 2026 · 16:15 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$62,417.9
T1 · 50%$62,895.0
Target$63,006.5
Stop$61,950.0

Outcome

T1 exit$62,895.0
T1 leg P&L+$191.09
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+1.91%
P&L+$191.09
P&L (BTC)+0.00304 BTC
Exit$62,417.9
Price moved+0.38%
Deepest adverse$62,234.8 (-0.29%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$52,232.6

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: developing day VAL at $62,170.0 (also within reach of the day low $62,022.9). The 14:15 5m candle wicked below the VAL to $62,022.9 and CLOSED back above at $62,383.4 — a swing-failure/reclaim of the developing value-area low, confirmed further by the 14:00 15m and 14:19 1m closes also printing back up. Corroboration: CCV bias is long, the 5m taker-delta shows a bearish divergence (aggressive sellers pushing the low but price refusing to break down = absorption at the level), and the reclaim closes are stop-rich because $62,022.9 is the obvious session low. Entry at/near reclaim price, stop just beyond the sweep wick at $61,950 (below the $62,022.9 low with buffer). T1 = daily VWAP $62,895 (nearest structural fair value); T2 = developing day POC $63,006.5, the value-area magnet just beyond. Risk ≈ $468, reward to T2 ≈ $589 → ~1.26:1. Below the 2:1 floor, but justified by the high-probability failed-auction reclaim of the value-area low with absorption and long CCV bias — first profit taken early at VWAP per SFP method, then stop to breakeven.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 13, 2026 · 14:20 UTC