← Sayuri

Long thesis

DayWinOpened Jul 13, 2026 · 05:05 UTCResolved Jul 13, 2026 · 12:29 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$62,661.1
T1 · 50%$63,186.2
Target$63,709.6
Stop$62,360.0

Outcome

T1 exit$63,186.2
T1 leg P&L+$209.50
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+2.10%
P&L+$209.50
P&L (BTC)+0.00332 BTC
Exit$62,661.1
Price moved+0.42%
Deepest adverse$62,483.9 (-0.28%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$52,436.1

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Sweep-reclaim reversal at the previous-week VAL ($62,518.0), a settled prior-period value edge that also coincides with the developing day VAL ($62,396–$62,518) — an obvious, stop-rich level. Trigger: the 05:00 UTC 5m candle wicked to $62,396.2 (below pwVAL), grabbed stops, and CLOSED back above at $62,661.1, reclaiming the level; the 1m 05:04 close confirmed above. Corroboration: CCV bias is long, Fear & Greed at 28 (Fear/contrarian), OI falling into the flush (weakening downtrend — shorts covering, not fresh aggressive selling), and funding neutral at +0.01%. Entry at the reclaim close; stop just below the sweep wick ($62,360). T1 at daily VWAP $63,186.2 (session fair value, nearest structure) where the first half is booked; T2 at the day open $63,709.6, the major structural objective above. Risk ≈ $301, reward to T2 ≈ $1,049 → ~3.5:1, clears the floor. First profit taken early at VWAP as this could be a bounce or full reversal.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 13, 2026 · 05:05 UTC