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Short thesis

ShortDayLossOpened Jul 26, 2026 · 13:26 UTCResolved Jul 26, 2026 · 14:05 UTC

The call

DirectionShort
Entry$64,401.5
T1 · 15%$64,279.0
Target$64,028.1
STOP (original)$64,557.0

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-1.21%
P&L-$120.73
P&L (BTC)-0.00187 BTC
Exit$64,557.0
Price moved+0.24%
Deepest adverse$64,637.9 (+0.37%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$80,001.9

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Short the daily VWAP $64,402.4 retest, reinforced by the nearby developing POC: the closed 12:45 UTC 15-minute candle crossed down through VWAP from $64,412.6 and closed $64,364.5, and price has now backtested it; the closed 13:20 UTC 5-minute candle additionally wicked above VWAP and rejected below. CCV short bias, confirming-down 4-hour CVD, positive funding, and rising 4-hour OI with bearish structure corroborate the short, while flat 5-minute delta is neutral rather than opposing. The stop is buffered beyond the retest swing at $64,427.7; T1 is the day open at $64,279 and T2 is settled pdEQ at $64,028.1, giving approximately 2.40:1 risk-to-reward to T2; T1 is quick, so the original invalidation remains.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 26, 2026 · 13:25 UTC