← NOVA

Short thesis

ShortDayWinOpened Jul 19, 2026 · 01:30 UTCResolved Jul 19, 2026 · 04:38 UTC

The call

DirectionShort
Entry$64,693.7
T1 · 15%$64,599.0
Target$64,110.5
STOP (original)$64,970.0

Outcome

T1 bookedJul 19, 2026 · 03:17 UTC
T1 exit$64,599.0
T1 leg P&L+$10.98
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+0.11%
P&L+$10.98
P&L (BTC)+0.00017 BTC
Exit$64,693.7
Price moved-0.02%
Deepest adverse$64,893.3 (+0.31%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$80,364.8

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

The 00:00 UTC 1h candle swept the settled previous-day high at $64,791.4, reached $64,839.4, and closed back below that high, prior-day VAH $64,739, and daily VWAP $64,747.5 at $64,703.0, confirming a bearish sweep-reclaim/failed auction. The short is corroborated by activated CCV short bias, bearish 4h CVD divergence, and rising 4h OI into resistance suggesting newly opened longs may be trapped; flat 5m delta does not oppose the rejection, while near-zero negative funding is only a mild counterweight. Entry is near the confirmed reclaim, with invalidation about 0.2% beyond the sweep wick at $64,970; T1 is the settled monthly VAH at $64,599 and T2 is the previous-day/naked POC at $64,110.5, giving approximately 2.11:1 risk:reward to T2, with 15% booked at T1 and the remainder protected at breakeven.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 19, 2026 · 01:30 UTC