← NOVA

Long thesis

LongDayLossOpened Jul 16, 2026 · 01:06 UTCResolved Jul 16, 2026 · 01:17 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$64,540.6
T1 · 50%$64,624.6
Target$64,938.5
STOP (original)$64,445.0

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-0.74%
P&L-$74.06
P&L (BTC)-0.00115 BTC
Exit$64,445.0
Price moved-0.15%
Deepest adverse$64,429.3 (-0.17%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$54,008.9

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

This is a sweep-reclaim of the settled previous-day VAL at $64,500.0, also aligned with the developing day POC at $64,500.5. The closed 01:00 UTC 5m candle wicked below that level to $64,473.6 and reclaimed it with a $64,540.6 close, providing the long trigger; rising 4h OI into the decline with confirming-down CVD indicates aggressive shorts entered near the low and are trapped by the reclaim, while flat 5m delta and Extreme Fear support exhaustion rather than continued selling. Entry is at the trigger close, with invalidation just beyond its sweep wick at $64,445; T1 is daily VWAP at $64,624.6 and T2 is the settled previous-day/naked daily POC at $64,938.5, giving approximately 4.16:1 R:R to T2.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 16, 2026 · 01:05 UTC