Long thesis
The call
Outcome
Sized under
Price chart
Reasoning
The settled prior-day high at $64,347.9 was swept from above and reclaimed by the CLOSED 17:10 UTC 5m candle (L $64,206.7, C $64,529.2), confirming a bullish SFP/back-tested resistance-to-support flip rather than a knife catch. The long is corroborated by price holding above daily VWAP, 4h CVD confirming up, the healthy-uptrend 24h OI backdrop, and negative 5m delta failing to hold the flush lower; 4h short-covering OI weakens but does not contradict the structure. Entry is at the reclaim close, with invalidation buffered just below the sweep wick; T1 is settled monthly VAH at $64,599 and T2 is the session/prior impulse high at $64,893.8. Risk:reward to T2 is 1.04:1, accepted below 2:1 only because this is a confirmed high-probability SFP of an obvious prior-day extreme with aligned higher-timeframe flow; book half at T1 and move the remainder to breakeven.
Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 14, 2026 · 17:15 UTC