← NOVA

Short thesis

DayWinOpened Jul 14, 2026 · 03:06 UTCResolved Jul 14, 2026 · 03:12 UTC

The call

DirectionShort
Entry$62,439.6
T1 · 50%$62,382.7
Target$62,299.0
Stop$62,510.0

Outcome

T1 exit$62,382.7
T1 leg P&L+$22.78
ResultWin · Target hit
Return on margin+0.79%
P&L+$79.08
P&L (BTC)+0.00127 BTC
Exit$62,299.0
Price moved-0.16%
Deepest adverse$62,421.2 (-0.03%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$77,564.7

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

The 03:00 UTC 5m candle swept the settled previous-day POC at $62,499.5 (high $62,503.9) and closed back below it at $62,439.8, confirming a bearish rejection/failed auction rather than an entry on proximity. The rejection is corroborated by bearish 5m delta divergence, positive funding, the bearish prior-day structure, and rising 4h OI into resistance suggesting fresh longs may be trapped; the confirming-up 4h CVD is the counter-signal, so risk stays tight. Entry is at the trigger close/current price, with invalidation just beyond the sweep wick at $62,510; T1 is daily VWAP at $62,382.7 and T2 is the developing day VAL at $62,299. Risk to T2 is $140.6 versus $70.4, approximately 2.00:1; half is booked at T1 and the remainder moves to breakeven.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 14, 2026 · 03:05 UTC